AUTONOMOUS WARFARE IN OPERATION SINDOOR

THE CONTEXT: The four-day Operation Sindoor (7 – 10 May 2025)—the first India-Pakistan engagement in which unmanned aerial systems (UAS), rather than piloted combat aircraft, executed the main kinetic tasks. Both exchanged swarms of armed drones, loitering munitions, and electronic decoys under a carefully managed “below-threshold” escalation ladder, redefining the grammar of deterrence in South Asia. The drones are viewed as a cost-effective coercive instrument that avoids the political risk of pilot losses.

TECHNICAL ORDER OF BATTLE:

ParameterIndiaPakistan
ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance)IAI Heron Mk-II (Israel); TAPAS-BH-201 / Rustom-II (indigenous)Shahpar-II (indigenous); Bayraktar TB-2 (Turkey)
Loitering MunitionsHarop (Israel), Nagastra-1 (DRDO)CH-901, WS-43 (China)
Swarm AssetsDRDO “Air-Launched Swarm Drone” (150 mini-UAV package)Domestically-fabricated quad-swarms
Air-Defence Kill-ChainIntegrated Air Command and Control System (IACCS) & Akashteer digital gridHQ-9 batteries around Lahore; Ya Zahra SAMs on western front
Counter-UASSpyder-SR, Pechora upgrades, 30 kW Laser DEW (Mk IIA) tested April 2025FM-90, jamming pods, MANPADS

Note: ISR = Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance; DEW = Directed Energy Weapon.

KEY TECHNOLOGIES DEPLOYED — WHAT THEY ARE & HOW THEY WORK:

Technology FamilySystemWorking Principle (simplified)Combat Value in Operation Sindoor
MALE ISR Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV)Heron Mk-II (Israel), TAPAS-BH-201 / Rustom-II (India)Twin-boom drone cruises at ~200 km h, 35 h endurance; Synthetic-Aperture Radar, electro-optical/infra-red (EO/IR) gimbals stream real-time video through Ku-band SATCOM links.48-h pre-strike “pattern-of-life” mapping of terror camps and Pakistani SAM batteries.
Loitering Munition (Kamikaze Drone)Harop (Israel), Nagastra-1 (DRDO)Blended-wing drone with delta canard; passive anti-radiation seeker hunts radar emissions, loiters 2-3 h, then dives with 15 kg HE warhead.Knock-out of HQ-9 site near Lahore; zero risk to pilots.
AI-Enabled Swarm Drone150-node Air-Launched Swarm (DRDO)Mother aircraft ejects canisters; each mini-UAV uses on-board neural-net for self-assigning targets (behaviour rules inspired by “boids” algorithm); mesh radio keeps swarm coherent even if nodes drop.Saturated Pakistani radars, forcing premature interceptor launches.
Directed-Energy Weapon (DEW)30 kW Fibre-Laser (DRDO)High-energy photons focused by adaptive mirror; burns control surfaces of incoming drones within 5 km; silent, shot-per-rupee cost negligible once fielded.Mobile DEW trucks on western border logged first operational kills of quad-copters.
Integrated Air Command & ControlIACCS (Indian Air Force)Sensor fusion of ground, airborne and satellite radars; AI engine prioritises tracks, auto-allocates “shooter” (Akash, Barak-8, Spyder). Redundant fibre-optic and SATCOM back-up.Maintained 360° situational awareness despite spoofing attempts; supported 600+ drone kills.
Ground-Tactical C²Akashteer (Army Air Defence)Digitised control and reporting network; links low-level sensors to quick-reaction guns/MANPADS; feeds into IACCS.Enabled sub-10-second “sensor-to-shooter” loop along Punjab & Rajasthan sectors.
Navigation & GuidanceNavIC/INS HybridHardened Indian Regional Navigation Satellite System receivers fused with Ring-Laser Gyro Inertial Navigation; fallback to terrain-contour matching.Resisted GNSS jamming over LoC; ensured terminal accuracy of Nagastra-1 strikes.

SECURITY ARCHITECTURE IN INDIA – LAYERED, YET STILL EVOLVING

    • Strategic Apex: Integrated Defence Staff (IDS) under Chief of Defence Staff ensures tri-service jointness; Defence Space Agency provides satellite bandwidth and space-based ISR.
    • National Air-Defence Triangle:
      • Sensor Layer – Mountain-top AESA radars (Arudhra) + aerostat radars + AEW&C “Netra” aircraft.
      • Decision Layer – IACCS (Air Force) and Akashteer (Army) fuse tracks into a common real-time air picture.
      • Shooter Layer – Quick-reaction guns (ZU-23-2), Very-Short-Range Air-Defence (VSHORAD) missiles, Akash-NG (medium range), Barak-8 (long range), S-400 “Sudarshan Chakra” (strategic).
    • Counter-UAS Ring: Passive RF direction-finders, jammers, DEW trucks and Spyder-SR at critical infrastructure.
    • Blue-Force Tracking & De-confliction: Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) DigitalSky platform shares civilian unmanned-traffic information with IACCS to avoid fratricide.
    • Cyber & EW Shield: Defence Cyber Agency (DCA) oversees spectrum dominance; National Critical Information Infrastructure Protection Centre (NCIIPC) encrypts C² nodes.

OPERATIONAL SHORTFALLS EXPOSED & UPGRADE IMPERATIVES:

Observed FlawRoot CauseUpgrade Required
Patchy Low-Altitude Radar Coverage in Thar sector allowed 37 Pakistani micro-drones to infiltrate before interception.Reliance on 1980-era THD-1955 radars with 200 m minimum-detectable altitude.Deploy truck-mounted Vigil AESA gap-fillers every 40 km; integrate passive IR sky-watch sensors.
EW Saturation – IACCS nodes briefly lost Ku-band uplink when adversary flooded spectrum with wide-band noise bursts.Single-band datalink dependency.Shift to frequency-hopping spread spectrum (FHSS) + laser COM links; embed quantum-resistant encryption.
Supply-Chain Fragility – Imported Li-ion cells and IR sensors faced customs delay amid global chip crunches.65 % component import dependency.Swarm Sahayata PLI: Incentivise domestic battery, sensor-grade Indium-Antimonide fabs by 2027.
Legacy Gun Systems needed manual cueing, slowing kill-chain by 15–20 s.WWII-era L/70 gun mounts lack digital fire-control.Retrofit electro-optical directors & predictive fire-control computers; field D-4 (DRDO) 40 mm smart-ammo rounds.
Legal Grey Zone on autonomous lethal engagement—no codified human-in-the-loop criteria.Absence of dedicated statute; dependence on MoD executive orders.Draft Autonomous Weapons and Counter-UAS Bill, 2026 to anchor testing, certification and accountability.

THE WAY FORWARD:

A. Technological Road-Map

    • National Counter-UAS Grid (NCUG): Mesh 1,000 passive RF/EO nodes with 200 high-energy laser interceptors across border states; central control through IACCS-II Cloud. Finance via the Defence Cyber Agency capital budget.
    • NavIC++ Adoption: Deploy dual-frequency L1/L5 NavIC receivers with anti-spoofing authentication; back-fit on Heron and Rustom fleets by 2027.
    • Quantum-Secure Datalinks: Pilot Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) between AWACS and ground nodes on Mumbai-Jodhpur fibre corridor.
    • Swarm Sandbox: Defence AI Project Agency to open source a non-export-controlled swarming kernel for academia-startup co-development.

B. Organisational & Regulatory Measures

1. Air Defence Command Operationalisation by 2026 with an exclusive Counter-UAS Brigade for western & northern fronts.

2. Autonomous Warfare Oversight Authority (AWOA): Mandate Verification-and-Validation (V&V) and ethical audit for every algorithm, modelled on U.S. DoD Directive 3000.09.

3. Drone Rules 2021—Schedule VI Update: Reserve 960-1030 MHz band exclusively for military UAS during hostilities; compulsory geofencing API for private drones near border belts.

4. State–Centre Joint Counter-Drone Protocols: Equip Border States with plug-and-play Akashteer consoles and conduct weekly joint drills.

C. Diplomacy & Confidence-Building

    • Propose a South Asia Drone CBM Regime—24-hour pre-notification of drone exercises above 15,000 ft, mirroring ballistic-test HOTLINE templates.
    • Champion an “Algorithmic Arms-Control Clause” at the United Nations Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons for meaningful human control in lethal autonomy debates.

D. Whole-of-Nation Ecosystem

    • Skill-Up: Launch a Defence Drone Fellowship at IIT-Kanpur and IISc for AI-EW fusion curricula.
    • Industry 4.0 Clusters: Create “Drone Corridors” connecting Belagavi composites, Coimbatore avionics, and Lucknow software parks, leveraging existing Defence Industrial Corridors.
    • Dual-Use Doctrine: Codify the phased transfer of decommissioned military UAVs to the National Disaster Response Force for flood mapping and coastal cyclone relief, showcasing the peace dividends of defense technology.

THE CONCLUSION:

Operation Sindoor marks a paradigm shift: future crises may unfold through silent propellers and algorithmic kill-chains rather than dogfights. Marrying Atmanirbhar industrial depth with robust doctrinal and regulatory guardrails is critical to preserve deterrence stability in a volatile nuclear dyad while harnessing the promise of autonomous systems for national power projection.

UPSC PAST YEAR QUESTION:

Q. How is the S-400 air defence system technically superior to any other system presently available in the world?  2021

MAINS PRACTICE QUESTION:

Q. Operation Sindoor reveals that the decisive battles of the future will be waged in the algorithmic and electromagnetic domains rather than on traditional battlefields. Discuss.

SOURCE:

https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/autonomous-warfare-in-operation-sindoor/article69633124.ece

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