June 26, 2024

Lukmaan IAS

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HOW POLITICS AND CLIMATE COULD AFFECT THE ANTARCTIC TREATY

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THE CONTEXT: The Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) has been a hallmark of international cooperation, successfully preserving Antarctica for peaceful and scientific purposes since its inception in 1959. However, recent developments and geopolitical shifts pose potential risks to this cooperative framework. The 46th Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting (ATCM) and the 26th Meeting of the Committee for Environmental Protection in Kochi, India, have highlighted these tensions.

THE ISSUES:

  • Peaceful Use and Scientific Research: The treaty mandates that Antarctica be used exclusively for peaceful purposes and promotes freedom of scientific investigation. Military activities, nuclear tests, and the disposal of radioactive waste are strictly prohibited.
  • Territorial Claims: The treaty effectively freezes territorial claims, preventing new claims or expanding existing ones. This has helped mitigate conflicts among the seven claimant countries (Argentina, Australia, Chile, France, New Zealand, Norway, and the United Kingdom).
  • Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has introduced political tensions into the ATS. Russia’s reported discovery of oil and gas in the British Antarctic Territory has raised alarms, as mining activities are banned under the Environmental Protocol. Such activities could be perceived as grey zone actions that undermine the treaty’s principles.
  • China’s Ambitions: China’s increasing presence in Antarctica, including the establishment of new research stations, has raised concerns about its long-term intentions, particularly regarding resource exploitation and dual-use technologies.
  • Climate Change: Global warming is melting Antarctic ice sheets, which poses significant environmental and geopolitical risks. Rising sea levels could have profound impacts, particularly on countries in the Indo-Pacific region, including Australia.
  • Tourism Regulation: The growing number of tourists visiting Antarctica has prompted discussions on regulating tourism to protect the continent’s fragile environment. The 46th ATCM, hosted by India, focused on developing a comprehensive framework for tourism management.

THE WAY FORWARD:

  • Strengthening International Cooperation and Governance: Increase the frequency and scope of Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meetings (ATCM) to address urgent issues and ensure all parties are actively engaged. Develop a robust monitoring and enforcement mechanism to ensure compliance with the treaty’s provisions, particularly regarding the prohibition of mineral resource activities. To prevent the misuse of scientific expeditions for resource exploration, transparency should be promoted by requiring detailed reporting of all activities in Antarctica, including scientific research.
  • Addressing Geopolitical Tensions: Facilitate high-level diplomatic dialogues between conflicting parties, such as Russia and Ukraine, to address their concerns and promote peaceful cooperation. Establish conflict resolution mechanisms within the ATS to address disputes and prevent escalation. Encourage joint scientific research projects involving multiple countries to build trust and collaboration.
  • Enhancing Environmental Protection: Develop and implement comprehensive climate action plans to mitigate the impacts of climate change on Antarctica, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and protecting ice shelves. Expand the network of marine protected areas (MPAs) to preserve critical habitats and biodiversity. Establish strict regulations for tourism activities to minimize environmental impact and prevent the introduction of invasive species.
  • Promoting Scientific Research and Innovation: Increase funding and support for scientific research programs focused on Antarctica, including climate science, marine biology, and glaciology. Foster international collaboration in scientific research to leverage expertise and resources from multiple countries. Invest in advanced technologies and innovative approaches to research Antarctica, such as autonomous vehicles and remote sensing.
  • Preparing for Future Challenges: Conduct scenario planning exercises to anticipate and prepare for potential challenges, such as resource conflicts, environmental disasters, and geopolitical shifts. Regularly review and update ATS policies and protocols to address emerging issues and ensure their relevance and effectiveness. Build the capacity of ATS member states to respond to challenges through training, resource allocation, and international cooperation.

THE CONCLUSION:

While the ATS has successfully fostered international cooperation, the current geopolitical tensions, resource exploration activities, and environmental changes pose significant challenges. Strengthening inspection mechanisms and maintaining a solid commitment to the treaty’s principles are crucial for ensuring that the ATS manages cooperation and conflict in Antarctica effectively.

UPSC PAST YEAR QUESTIONS:

Q.1 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has predicted a global sea level rise of about one meter by AD 2100. What would be its impact on India and the other countries in the Indian Ocean region? 2023

Q.2 Critically evaluate the various ocean resources that can be harnessed to meet the world’s resource crisis. 2014

MAINS PRACTICE QUESTION:

Q.1 The Antarctic Treaty System has been a cornerstone of international cooperation and environmental protection for over six decades. However, recent geopolitical tensions and environmental challenges pose significant risks to its stability. Discuss the potential threats to the Antarctic Treaty System and the implications for global governance and environmental protection.

SOURCE:

https://www.downtoearth.org.in/blog/environment/how-politics-and-climate-could-affect-the-antarctic-treaty-96353

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